Power transmission and distributions losses – a model based on available empirical data and future trends for all countries globally

Abstract

Power loss is one of the key parameters of the electricity grid and the main measure to define quality of a whole power system. If electricity consumption and generation are more or less easily predictable values, then future transmission and distribution (T&D) power loss values can be estimated. This master’s thesis introduces the power loss as a function of economical, geographical, political and technical factors in the form of a mathematically represented formula. The obtained formula includes empirical data which describes the dependence of the T&D grid power loss level on widely available metrics, such as GDP per capita, corruption perception index, area of the country, temperature, level of urbanization and grid organization parameter. The same formula can also be used by modelers for anticipating the development of the T&D grid power loss in the years and decades to come. The suggested methodology could be easily reproduced and tuned to the precise environment conditions. What can be helpful for research where countries without available data should be explored. The created formula is the very first of its kind and statistically it is well validated, what makes it applicable in modeling and visualization of the development of the T&D grid power loss of countries, regions and the world.