Investigation of building load prediction models based on integration of mechanism methods and data-driven models

Abstract

In the district energy systems, the quality of data often proves inferior, resulting in that the historical building data may be partially or entirely absent. The traditional data-driven models may generate poor fitting results in such scenarios, while mechanism models typically involve a time-consuming simulation process, especially for large-space building load calculation. This paper proposes building load prediction models based on the integration of mechanism methods and data-driven models to deal with the problem for different building types and in different degrees of data quantity. The mechanism methods are performed based on the specific building in the case, and the base structure of data-driven models is not limited by this method. Two cases with different building types and load types are selected for the experiment. This paper investigates the building load prediction capabilities of different models, including different base structures and whether mechanism methods are integrated, in different training data sampling scenarios. Based on the experiment results, the proposed models achieve generalization and robustness in different cases and scenarios.